29 July 2012

MONEY PRINTING VS GOLD

by mahadzira

The Inevitability of Money Printing - 27 July 2012

It's that or global depression – meaning a clear choice for policymakers...
POLICYMAKERS face a simple choice: massive money printing or global depression, writes Ben Mountifield at 247Bull.com
Either they engage in massive money printing, or they let the world slip into another great depression. The amount of sovereign debt that is due to mature in the next few years is so vast that it's highly unlikely that there will be enough buyers to meet the supply. If central banks do nothing, then the oversupply of debt will bring about higher interest rates and therefore higher debt servicing costs.
For many of the world's economies, however, even a modest rise in interest rates would cause a very serious problem.
In the US for example, where the average interest rate for a 10-year Treasury is currently 2.3%, it takes around 8% of federal revenues to service the national debt. However, if the deficit continues to rise at more than $1 trillion a year, and the average interest rate on 10-year Treasuries rises to just 3%, then by 2020 the cost of servicing the debt could rise to more than 20% of federal revenues.
Governments will therefore be very reluctance to let interest rates rise. As a result I expect them to instruct their central banks to step in and monetize a large portion of this maturing debt i.e. they will purchase their own debt with newly printed money.
Between now and the end of 2014 the world's top 10 debtor nations have to rollover $12.7 trillion (£8.2 trillion) in maturing sovereign debt. That's more than 40% of their total outstanding debt.
In other words, in the next two and a half years these nations need to find buyers for debt that is equivalent to the combined economic output of Germany, France, Brazil, the United Kingdom and Australia.
When faced with a choice between massive money printing and a global depression, I am confident that world leaders will choose the path of least resistance i.e. they will continue to print money in ever greater quantities.
The problem of course, is that printing money is highly inflationary and it is my opinion that the actions of desperate governments will create a prolonged period of hyper-stagflation. In other words, a period of high unemployment, low, or no, economic growth and high inflation.
It is possible, perhaps even likely, that we will see inflation rates as high as they were during the 1970s, something which will have significant consequences for every investor, or anyone with wealth.
This bout of high inflation, brought about by rapid currency debasement, will destroy a good portion of the wealth and savings of millions of people, and will likely be the trigger for the final stage of the crisis, the loss of confidence in paper (fiat) money. It is also likely to be the catalyst for the resumption of the bull market in precious metals.
Get the safest gold at the lowest possible price when you Buy Gold on BullionVault...
Ben Mountifield27 Jul '12

GOLD RISE 2012 TO 1700 USD PER OZ

BY MAHADZIRA

Gold Bullion Sees Biggest Gain in Six Weeks Thanks to Draghi "Plundering People's Savings" - 27 July 2012

FRIDAY EVENING UPDATE AND WEEK IN REVIEW VIDEO
EARLIER REPORT
Gold Bullion touched a five-week high of $1625 per ounce Friday morning in London, on course for a weekly gain that would see the pattern of alternating up and down weeks stretched to week number eleven.
Silver Bullion also held onto most of its recent gains, trading around $27.70 per ounce for much of the morning.
A day earlier, gold and silver rallied following comments from European Central Bank president Mario Draghi that were taken to suggest the ECB could start buying government bonds again.
"We believe the risk [for gold] now lies with a move to $1640, the June high," says the latest technical analysis note from bullion bank Scotia Mocatta.
""There will be buyers now on any retracement to "1590."
"Technically the price action is starting to look a bit more constructive," agrees Credit Suisse analyst Tom Kendall.
"But that could fade as quickly as it appears to have been building... physical demand is still pretty soft [and] positioning is disinterested across much of the investment community
Based on London Fix prices, Gold Bullion looked set for its biggest weekly gain in seven weeks by Friday lunchtime in London. A PM Gold Fix of $1626.75 or higher would make this the biggest weekly gain since the last full week in January.
With markets looking ahead to preliminary US GDP figures due to be published later, European stocks were broadly flat this morning, having rallied on Thursday after Draghi said the ECB "is ready to whatever it takes to preserve the Euro".
"It is a signal that the ECB is closer to reactivating bond purchases if all else fails," says Julian Callow, head of international economics at Barclays.
The ECB's Securities Markets Programme, which was launched in 2010, was used last year to buy Spanish and Italian government bonds on the open market.
"The thing we wonder here is exactly where the Bundesbank stands...[since it has] historically been resisting the reactivation of the SMP."
"The Bundesbank has not changed its opinion [on ECB bond purchases]," a spokesman for the German central bank told Dow Jones Newswires on Friday.
"[Draghi has] maneuvered himself into an extremely difficult situation," warns Carsten Brzeski, senior economist at ING Group.
"[Market] expectations are very high."
"I don't believe you will see government bond purchases yet," adds Jacques Cailloux, chief European economist at Nomura in London.
"We have some doubts about whether the interventions will be of the required scale," says Nick Kounis, head of macro research at ABN Amro in Amsterdam.
"It therefore seems likely that the bond purchases will just allow policy makers to muddle through unless much more financial firepower is put on the table."
Following Draghi's comments, benchmark yields on 10-Year Spanish government bonds fell back below 7%, while yields on Italian 10-year bonds fell below 6%.
"Draghi ist ein Plünderer des Bürger-Spargroschens", says a headline from German newspaper Handelsblatt. The phrase, which loosely translates as "Draghi is plundering the nest eggs of citizens", is attributed to German politician Frank Schaeffler, a member of the FDP party which forms part of the governing coalition.
"Higher inflation is an inevitable consequence of this ECB policy," adds Klaus-Peter Willsch, a member of chancellor Angela Merkel's CDU party.
"The signs are already clear to see: in prime real estate prices, prices of agricultural and forest land, gold, coin collections, classic cars...the flight into real values has already begun."
In the US, the first estimate of second quarter gross domestic product is due out later today, expected to show a slowdown in economic growth.
"If the US GDP number falls short of expectations, it would once again fuel speculations on Fed easing, which would help gold," reckons Phillip Futures analyst Lynette Tan in Singapore.
Elsewhere in the US, hedge fund Paulson & Co. may have lost closet to $50 million on its investment in Gold Mining firm NovaGold after its stock saw its biggest fall in three years, newswire Bloomberg reports.
Paulson & Co. offers investors accounts denominated in gold and holds a large number of shares in the SPDR Gold Trust (GLD), the world's biggest Gold ETF.
GLD Gold Bullion holdings held steady yesterday at 1252.5 tonnes, though they remain at their lowest level since January.
Buying Gold?...
BullionVault27 Jul '12
The London Gold Market Report is the daily market review from BullionVault, the world's largest physical gold and silver market for private investors. A full member of professional trade body the London Bullion Market Association, BullionVault publishes the LGMR every day that the market is open, bringing you insider comment and analysis from the very center of the world's $240 billion-a-day physical gold trade, and putting the latest gold price action into its wider financial and economic context


15 August 2009

GOLD NEWS LATEST BY BULLIONVAULT

 http://facebook.com/syeikhmahadzira
by mahadzira

Little Silver, Big Gold - 27 July 2012

Platinum has never been so cheap versus the Gold Price. Meaning what...?

PLATINUM is a highly useful metal, writes Adrian Ash at BullionVault. So too is gold.

But where gold's use is primarily social – a store of value and wealth – platinum (from platina, Modern Latin via Spanish for "little silver") is first and foremost an industrial metal. Which isn't helping platinum versus the Gold Price one bit right now.
Platinum Minus Gold Price
Little silver was only identified as a precious metal in the mid-18th century. So it lacks the long history of gold's use, which stretches back to the very earliest civilizations. Platinum has always traded however at a steep premium to gold – a 46% premium per ounce in fact in our modern age of global commodity markets, unbacked fiat currency, and fast-growing  car ownership.

Hence the problem in today's economic depression. Gold has never before been this expensive in comparison. Because "platinum lacks safe haven status and has limited investment demand," explains Morgan Stanley's commodities team.

Yes, jewelry accounted last year for nearly one-third of global platinum demand. But little of that was store-of-value demand such as gold enjoys. Investment demand remains only a sliver of world off-take. Whereas demand from the glass, medical, chemical and petroleum industries comes on top of a further 38% of demand in 2011 coming from the auto sector. Most notably in Europe, because earlier tax incentives now mean 1-in-3 vehicles on the continent's roads runs on diesel, thus needing a platinum-only catalyst instead of the platinum-rhodium or palladium mix in gasoline engines.

So platinum demand is directly exposed to the Eurozone crisis. So exposed, in fact, that London bullion prices are now nearing mine-production costs around $1400 per ounce. Cue the bullish outlook:

"It is hard to see any exploration or investment in new mines taking place until platinum prices push up well above $1,600/oz," says French investment and bullion bank Natixis. "Already some producers are making cutbacks," notes Nikos Kavalis at RBS, adding that "Current price levels are unsustainable." Dan Smith of Standard Chartered is also bullish, telling Reuters that "High-cost producers are currently losing money on an operating-cost basis, and the pressure on the industry can already be seen."

What then of gold and its current but rare premium to more "useful" platinum? There was a similar squeeze on platinum output – some 75% of which comes from South Africa – the last time platinum outperformed the Gold Price. The first-half of 2008 saw little silver jump 34% as the state-owned Eskom electricity producer cut power to South Africa's mines in a bid to keep the lights amid soaring coal prices. Gold couldn't keep up, managing a mere 10% rise in US Dollar terms.

The credit crunch was by then well underway. But while it didn't really grab the world's lapels and spit in its eye until September '08 – when the collapse of Lehmans sparked a collapse in trade, investment and business credit worldwide – leveraged bets on platinum futures, along with a raft of other industrial commodities, had already turned sharply lower. So "News that might have previously been viewed as bullish was ignored by the market," said refiner and leading platinum data source Johnson Matthey in August 2008, pointing to Eskom's part-closure of a nuclear power plant – the kind of news which has seen platinum vault $100 per ounce in a day at the start of the year.

Store-of-wealth gold at first suffered right alongside. The "net long" position of speculative players in Comex Gold Futures shrank by almost four-fifths in the last six months of '08. The price, however, slid only 10% between July and Christmas that year, having found its floor very much sooner – and rising very much faster – than any other tradable asset. Platinum, in contrast, sank over 55%.

The Gold Price has since pulled platinum down to fresh record discounts. Which might signal either a turn, as the City's professional analysts think, or the true depth of our current depression. But whatever tight supply might do for "little silver" long-term, tight credit might trump it meantime.

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Adrian Ash27 Jul '12

BUSUK.ORG + SYEIKH MAHADZIRA

FOREX | BROKER TRADER - FOREX TRADER OPITION $ FUTURE

Gold Price Investment Trading Golbal News

SENARAI FORUM AGAMA MYKMU SYEIKH MAHADZIRA aka ANAGHOIB&HUD'S

35. Faathir

22. dan tidak (pula) sama orang-orang yang hidup dan orang-orang yang mati. Sesungguhnya Allah memberi pendengaran kepada siapa yang dikehendaki-Nya dan kamu sekali-kali tiada sanggup menjadikan orang yang didalam kubur dapat mendengar[1254].

BUKTI BAHAWA ALLAH MENGAJARKAN PATAH DEMI PATAH KATA DAN RASA KEPADA MANUSIA. SUBHNALLAH DI DUNIA INI JUGALAH BAHARU SEMPURNA SERBA SEDIKIT PENCIPTHAAN DIRI . TENANG DAN BERLEMBUT HATILAH KEPADA ALLAH RAJA AL QUDUS WAJIBUL WUJUD INI........QUDDUS SUNGGUH QUDDUS.
35. Faathir

14. Jika kamu menyeru mereka, mereka tiada mendengar seruanmu; dan kalau mereka mendengar, mereka tidak dapat memperkenankan permintaanmu. Dan dihari kiamat mereka akan mengingkari kemusyirikanmu dan tidak ada yang dapat memberi keterangan kepadamu sebagai yang diberikan oleh Yang Maha Mengetahui[1251].

TUGAS PEMBERI PERINGATAN UMAT DAN PEMBAWA RISALAH RASUL ADALAH BERBEZA IAITU RASULULLAH MELAKSANAKAN TUGAS KERASULAN DAN KENAZIRAN DAN DALAM SESUATU KAUM PULA MESTI ADA SEORANG NAZIR DAN BAGI KAUM MELAYU SEJARAH AKAN MEMBUKTIKAN DAN PERKARA INI TIDAKLAH LEBIH PENTING DARI MEMIKIRKAN KIAMAT ANTARA JUMAAT KE JUMAAT. ATAU TATKALA MELIHAT AWAN GELAP DIKAKI UFUK LANGIT DENGAN CERMAI TANGIS.

ADUH ...INSAN
by ana ghoib.
35. Faathir

NABI MUHAMMAD S.A.W. PEMBAWA KEBENARAN
24. Sesungguhnya Kami mengutus kamu dengan membawa kebenaran[1255] sebagai pembawa berita gembira dan sebagai pemberi peringatan. Dan tidak ada suatu umatpun melainkan telah ada padanya seorang pemberi peringatan.



SALAH AD DEEN SYEIKH HINA MAHADZIRA - ANEKDOT ZAMAN

PostPosted: Sat Nov 08, 2008 8:54 pm Post subject: Reply with quote Edit/Delete this post

Response to fear by electing a hawkish government is common among nations. Israel is a case in point.

Mental note: what say u....

TRIBUTE TO AHLI BADRI UHUD AHZAB & Syeikh Mahadzira on future of Malay Race...

12. Yusuf

37. Yusuf berkata: "Tidak disampaikan kepada kamu berdua makanan yang akan diberikan kepadamu melainkan aku telah dapat menerangkan jenis makanan itu, sebelum makanan itu sampai kepadamu. Yang demikian itu adalah sebagian dari apa yang diajarkan kepadaku oleh Tuhanku. Sesungguhnya aku telah meninggalkan agama orang-orang yang tidak beriman kepada Allah, sedang mereka ingkar kepada hari kemudian.

KISAH BERKENAAN NABI SEWAKTU SEMASIH BAYI.

Pakcik/paman Nabi, Al 'Abbas (RA) berkata, "Wahai, NabiyAllah, yang membuat diriku masuk dalam agamamu adalah kerana aku menyaksikan salah satu tanda kenabianmu. Aku melihatmu dalam tempat tidur bayimu (ketika Nabi (sall-Allahu 'alayhi wasallam) masih kecil) sedang bercakap dengan lembut pada bulan dan menunjuknya dengan jarimu. Dan bulan itu bergerak di langit ke arah mana pun kau menunjuknya." Muhammad (sall-Allahu 'alayhi wasallam) bersabda, "Saat itu, aku memang sedang bercakap dengannya, dan ia pun berbicara kepadaku, mengalihkan perhatianku agar tak menangis. Aku dapat mendengar suara sujudnya di bahawa 'Arasy."

Muhammad (sall-Allahu 'alayhi wasallam) menjawab, ‘Dua orang laki-laki yang memakai kain putih mendatangiku.

KISAH MUHD DAN MUKJIZAT HUJAN

Ibn Asakir meriwayatkan dari Jalhama ibn Urfuta bahawa Muhammad (sall-Allahu 'alayhi wasallam) bersabda, “Aku datang ke Makkahsaat musim kering. Beberapa orang laki-laki dari suku Qurasiy mendatangi Abu Talib dan berkata, ‘Wahai, Abu Talib, lembah-lembah tengah kering dan keluarga-keluarga tengah menderita. Mari kita pergi dan berdoa memohon hujan.’ Abu Talib pun keluar, dan bersamanya seorang pemuda yang nampak bagai ‘Matahari-setelah-Awan-menghilang’. Ia (sang pemuda) dikelilingi oleh anak-anak laki-laki lainnya. Abu Talib pun membawanya ke Ka’bah dan membuatnya berdiri dengan punggungnya membelakangi Ka’bah. Saat itu, bahkan tak nampak secuilpun awan di langit. Namun, sesaat setelah sang pemuda itu mengangkat kedua tangannya, awan pun mulai berdatangan dari segenap penjuru, dan hujan pun mulai turun. Lembah pun bersemi dan baik di dalam Makkah mahupun di padang pasir sekelilingnya menjadi subur. Tentang mu’jizat ini, Abu Talib menulis bait-bait berikut:

‘Untuk ia yang memiliki wajah benderang,
hujan dikirimkan demi kemuliaan akhlaqnya,
Ia tempat berlindung para yatim,
Dan penyokong para janda.’"

Allahumma salli afdalas salaati 'ala habiibikal Mushtofa Sayyidina Muhammadin wa 'ala aalihi wasahbihi wasallaam

Daripada Abdul Rahman Bin Samurah r.a. berkata, Nabi Muhammad s.a.w.
bersabda: Sesunguhnya aku telah mengalami mimpi yang MENAKJUBKAN
pada malam kelmarin....

* Aku telah melihat seorang dari umatku telah didatangi malaikatul
maut untuk mengambil nyawanya, maka malaikat itu terhalang
disebabkan KETAATAN KEPADA KEDUA IBU-BAPANYA.

BERLEMBUT DENGAN KASIH SAYANG DAN TAAT ULUL AMRI - STRATEGY SYEIKH MALAYA

BERANI MENENTANG ARUS - SYEIKH MALAYA SALAH AD DEEN



BERANI MENENTANG ARUS
Sesunguhnya medan berbicara itu tidak semudah medan berkhayal. Medan berbuat tidak semudah medan berbicara.
— Hasan Al-Banna



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